Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.161885 0.182151 0.203372 0.227196 0.253142 0.280489 0.311435
2025-02-16 0.135604 0.163141 0.193436 0.229053 0.269587 0.314090 0.366448
2025-02-23 0.119527 0.152329 0.189961 0.235926 0.290136 0.351611 0.426154
2025-03-02 0.102194 0.137611 0.179885 0.233374 0.298524 0.374562 0.469229
2025-03-09 0.089450 0.126756 0.172926 0.233224 0.308784 0.399200 0.514337
2025-03-16 0.078429 0.116719 0.165764 0.231736 0.316588 0.420437 0.555373
2025-03-23 0.071745 0.111549 0.164106 0.236639 0.332037 0.451041 0.608296
2025-03-30 0.064273 0.104464 0.159174 0.236617 0.340711 0.472972 0.650579
2025-04-06 0.057729 0.097978 0.154404 0.236225 0.348476 0.493555 0.691281
2025-04-13 0.052021 0.092111 0.149938 0.235747 0.355757 0.513357 0.731112
2025-04-20 0.047736 0.087946 0.147503 0.237760 0.366216 0.537335 0.776671
2025-04-27 0.045095 0.086070 0.148196 0.244095 0.382650 0.569496 0.833554
2025-05-04 0.041059 0.081726 0.145101 0.245039 0.391953 0.592856 0.880135
2025-05-11 0.038095 0.078863 0.144033 0.248829 0.405320 0.622017 0.935145
2025-05-18 0.036410 0.078015 0.146012 0.257206 0.425484 0.660983 1.004294
2025-05-25 0.032715 0.073237 0.141339 0.255058 0.430017 0.678066 1.043571
2025-06-01 0.029845 0.069648 0.138315 0.255223 0.437829 0.699797 1.089575
2025-06-08 0.026983 0.065756 0.134476 0.253808 0.443063 0.717800 1.130544
2025-06-15 0.025517 0.064415 0.134876 0.259174 0.458699 0.751046 1.193575
2025-06-22 0.023343 0.061416 0.132150 0.259207 0.465985 0.772163 1.239587
2025-06-29 0.021310 0.058473 0.129295 0.258819 0.472485 0.792137 1.284186
2025-07-06 0.019450 0.055678 0.126493 0.258323 0.478692 0.811684 1.328389
2025-07-13 0.018091 0.053829 0.125306 0.260496 0.489149 0.837716 1.382400